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AUD: Consumer anxiety falls further, but spending behaviour still restrained - NAB

Discussion in 'Fundamental Analysis' started by FXStreet_Team, Dec 23, 2015.

  1. FXStreet_Team

    FXStreet_Team Well-Known Member Trader

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    FXStreet (Delhi) – Research Team at NAB, suggests that the consumer anxiety fell to its lowest level since Q4 2014 amid more signs of improvement in the labour market and non-mining sector of the economy as noted in the NAB’s quarterly Australian consumer behaviour survey for Q4 2015.

    Key Quotes

    “The NAB Consumer Anxiety Index fell to 61.1 points in Q4 2015 (62.5 points in Q3 2015) and is below its long-term average (61.9 points).

    Lower anxiety was led by diminished concerns relating to job security, with around two-thirds of all Australian consumers rating “very low” or “low” anxiety over their job security in Q4 2015.

    Cost of living is still the biggest contributor to overall consumer anxiety, but less so than in Q3.
    According to NAB Chief Economist Alan Oster, “it is still of some concern that almost 1 in 3 consumers rate their anxiety levels from cost of living pressures as high”.

    Anxiety related to government policy was also notably lower, but it continues to be the second biggest contributor to overall anxiety after cost of living.
    Lower anxiety has yet to translate into significantly stronger spending behaviours, with paying down debt still the main priority for consumers.

    Financing retirement, providing for the family’s future and health expenses continue to weigh on the minds of consumers.

    As a result, spending behaviours remain dominated by key essentials such as transport, utilities and health.
    While spending on non-essentials was broadly unchanged during the quarter, it was notably stronger than at the same time last year.

    “This bodes well for a stronger Christmas trading period”, said Mr Oster.”
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