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CAD: Signals warn USD/CAD’s fall is complete – Westpac

Discussion in 'Fundamental Analysis' started by FXStreet_Team, Mar 11, 2016.

  1. FXStreet_Team

    FXStreet_Team Well-Known Member Trader

    Oct 7, 2015
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    Richard Franulovich, Research Analyst at Westpac, suggests that the Canadian Feb CPI and Jan retail sales the main local draw cards next week for the CAD.

    Key Quotes

    “Some cautionary signals warn USD/CAD’s fall is complete - key tech support back to Aug 2014 resides close by at 1.3250 and the size and duration of the correction off 1.47 now broadly matches the metrics of earlier reversals (Mar-May 2015 & Aug-Oct 2015).

    That said, rates markets could fuel another leg down in USD/CAD, a non-negligible 10bp in BoC easing priced in by year’s end yet the BoC seems unlikely to deliver that now that energy prices have stabilised and US growth is looking is stronger early in 2016. Potential for fresh fiscal stimulus in the 22 Mar federal budget could trigger yet more CAD gains. USD/CAD could break 1.30 in coming weeks but it’s a long term buy into 1.2850.”
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