Draghi used ECB policy to materially weaken Euro - Investec

Discussion in 'Fundamental Analysis' started by FXStreet_Team, Oct 23, 2015.

  1. FXStreet_Team

    FXStreet_Team Well-Known Member Trader

    Oct 7, 2015
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    FXStreet (Delhi) – Research Team at Investec, note that President Draghi used the ECB monetary policy meeting to materially weaken the Euro citing global growth risks and low inflation as a driver to likely add stimulus at December's ECB meeting.

    Key Quotes

    “Whilst the ECB kept all policy rates on hold as well as the size and duration of the current QE program the same, President Draghi left the door open for a 'menu' of stimulus options for December's meeting. In a nod to his predecessor, Draghi hinted he wants to be ‘vigilant, as people used to say in the old times’ – this was ex-President Trichet's code for a policy change at the next meeting.”

    “Draghi went on to say the Governing Council can adjust the ‘size, composition and duration’ of the current QE programme if needed, but other options are possible. For example, Draghi revealed that the Governing Council discussed the possibility of a further cut to the deposit rate, which currently stands at -0.20%.”

    “Previously assumed the lower bound, this added fuel to the Euro selling fire on the day, which continued overnight. The market is likely to speculate in the coming weeks on exactly how far the ECB will go in December, but with the Federal Reserve still talking about raising rates and the Bank of England already seeing one member voting for a rate hike, the latest ECB press conference was a reminder of the continuing monetary policy divergence between the ECB and the Fed and BOE, that will likely continue to drive the Euro lower against the US Dollar and Pound in the medium term.”
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