EUR/USD eyes on 1.04 in the near term – Danske Bank

Discussion in 'Fundamental Analysis' started by FXStreet_Team, Nov 23, 2015.

  1. FXStreet_Team

    FXStreet_Team Well-Known Member Trader

    Oct 7, 2015
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    FXStreet (Edinburgh) - Senior Analyst at Danske Bank Christin Tuxen sees the pair breaking below 2015 lows and challenging the 1.0400 handle in the near term.

    Key Quotes

    “We now look for the Fed to deliver the first rate hike in December and for the ECB to ease substantially before year-end and we lower our 1M and 3M forecast as the cross has further to fall on relative rates”.

    “We look for a temporary break below the March low at 1.0458 in December, forecasting EUR/USD at 1.04 in 1M (previously 1.10)”.

    “We do not think the cross is headed for parity and we see little potential for the market to price sustained divergence in Fed-ECB policy beyond December as (i) the market is already pricing a good deal in terms of Fed-ECB divergence, (ii) the impact of relative rates on EUR/USD is waning and (iii) the bearish EUR/USD positioning looks increasingly stretched”.
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