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EUR/USD forecast: life post- Payrolls – Commerzbank and Danske Bank

Discussion in 'Fundamental Analysis' started by FXStreet_Team, Jan 11, 2016.

  1. FXStreet_Team

    FXStreet_Team Well-Known Member Trader

    Oct 7, 2015
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    FXStreet (Edinburgh) - The single currency has seen a rebound following the stellar print of US Non-farm Payrolls on Friday, retaking the 1.09 handle albeit struggling around 1.0950/60 so far.

    Karen Jones, Head of FICC Technical Analysis at Commerzbank, noted spot “steadied throughout the week, it saw no follow through on the downside and is trading back above 1.0819/1.0796 (May low, the July low, the 7 th December low), the near term resistance line has been eroded. The intraday Elliott wave counts have turned more positive and we would allow for a probe into tougher resistance”.

    Furthermore, Senior Analyst at Danske Bank Jens Pedersen suggested “Friday’s move higher in EUR/USD and thus a negative correlation to equities was in line with the correlations seen in 2015 when EUR was increasingly viewed as funding currency. We think the negative correlation between EUR/USD risk appetite will continue to dominate, suggesting that risk remains skewed to the upside for EUR/USD”.
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