Markets watch out for Canadian September retail sales and October CPI data

Discussion in 'Fundamental Analysis' started by FXStreet_Team, Nov 20, 2015.

  1. FXStreet_Team

    FXStreet_Team Well-Known Member Trader

    Oct 7, 2015
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    FXStreet (Mumbai) - CPI for October y/y is expected at 1.0% while CPI Core m/m is expected at 0.2%. Core CPI year on year is expected to come in at 2 per cent. Headline CPI is expected to have moved up slightly (0.1%) in October. The increase is being considered enough to push the year-over-year rate of growth up modestly to 1.1% from 1.0% in September. The October headline monthly increase was likely impacted by a 2.3% drop in gasoline prices.

    The core CPI can be expected to rise by 0.3 per cent on a month-over-month basis in October. If the core CPI does rise as per expectation it would match the monthly increase a year ago. It would then leave the year-over-year rate of core price growth unchanged at 2.1 per cent. Also, it would also mark the 15th consecutive month that core CPI inflation has exceeded the Bank of Canada's 2 per cent target. The month-over-month change in core prices will likely reflect seasonal increases in motor vehicle (1.8%) and clothing (1.2%) prices outweighed by seasonal drop in travel services.

    Retail sales for September m/m is expected at +0.1%, prior was +0.5%. Excluding autos retail sales is expected at -0.4% and prior flat at 0.0% change.

    Nominal Canadian retail sales is expected to have a suffered a decline of 0.2% in September. The bulk of the nominal sales decline in September was on account of a pullback in gasoline prices.
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