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NZD: Business confidence down in February – ANZ

Discussion in 'Fundamental Analysis' started by FXStreet_Team, Feb 29, 2016.

  1. FXStreet_Team

    FXStreet_Team Well-Known Member Trader

    Oct 7, 2015
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    Cameron Bagrie, Chief Economist at ANZ, notes that the NZ’s business confidence moved down a gear in February.

    Key Quotes

    “The optimists are still in the driver’s seat; a net +7% are optimistic about the general economy over the year ahead. Sentiment fell in all sectors bar manufacturing.

    The foot is pressing more softly on the accelerator. That’s a far cry from tapping on the brakes. But less enthusiasm to accelerate is clear.

    • Firms’ own activity expectations eased from +34 to +26. That’s slightly below the average historical speed.

    • Profit expectations receded from +18 to +12. Firms are still profitable, but marginally less so.

    • Employment intentions fell from +20 to +12. Drivers are still wanted.

    • Investment intentions were largely unchanged at +14. A pit stop.

    • Export intentions were up (+23 versus +19). Hardly stellar but not a bad sign given slowing global trade trends.

    • Residential investment intentions fell from +32 to +14. Commercial construction intentions receded from +45 to +24.

    • Pricing gauges drifted lower. Inflation expectations hit a historical low of 1.4%. Pricing intentions dropped from +24 to +18.

    • The picture, after adjusting for seasonality, is largely the same.”
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