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Rate hike bets drop after Fed minutes

Discussion in 'Fundamental Analysis' started by FXStreet_Team, Oct 8, 2015.

  1. FXStreet_Team

    FXStreet_Team Well-Known Member Trader

    Oct 7, 2015
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    FXStreet (Mumbai) - The latest CME fed watch data shows the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike at future Fed meetings dropped slightly after the release of the Fed minutes.

    March rate hike bets drop

    Heading into the event, a 25 bps rate hike probability stood at 43.6%, which now has dropped to 42.00%, while the probability of a status quo increased to 42.3% from 37.7%.

    On similar lines, the December rate hike bets dropped to 33.6% from 36.3%, while bets that rates will stay unchanged ticked higher to 64.3% from 62.1%.

    Meanwhile, the 2-year treasury yield, which also represents the rate hike expectations, remains largely unchanged around 0.633% post Fed minutes release.
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