RBNZ: 40% chance of rate cut in Dec? - Too low - Westpac

Discussion in 'Fundamental Analysis' started by FXStreet_Team, Nov 12, 2015.

  1. FXStreet_Team

    FXStreet_Team Well-Known Member Trader

    Oct 7, 2015
    Likes Received:
    FXStreet (Guatemala) - Sean Callow, analyst at Westpac noted that the RBNZ cut the OCR three times from Jun to Sep, to 2.75%. But policy was kept steady on 29 Oct, with Governor Wheeler noting “robust” growth in construction and services.

    Key Quotes:

    "The statement also included a view that it was best to “watch and wait.” But there was stronger concern about a resilient NZD TWI and Wheeler reiterated that given very low inflation, “some further reduction in the OCR seems likely.”

    "We see October as having been only a brief pause in the easing cycle. There are emerging signs of weakness in Auckland housing, while dairy prices have softened once more. Markets are pricing just a 40% chance of a rate cut in Dec , which looks far too low to us."
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