UK to witness 2016 bank rate rise - RBS

Discussion in 'Fundamental Analysis' started by FXStreet_Team, Dec 28, 2015.

  1. FXStreet_Team

    FXStreet_Team Well-Known Member Trader

    Oct 7, 2015
    Likes Received:
    FXStreet (Delhi) – Ross Walker, Senior UK Economist at RBS, suggests that the first BoE Bank Rate hike for almost a decade (since +25bp to 5.75% in July 2007) will finally materialise – probably.

    Key Quotes

    “The RBS forecast remains for the first hike to come in August 2016 (this forecast was put in place on 22 September 2015; previously we expected the first hike to come in February 2016). We continue to judge the risks as tilted towards a later move, though a US Fed Funds rate rise in December 2015 prompt sterling markets to raise their implied probabilities of an earlier UK hike (we suspect May 2016 would be favoured over February 2016 by futures markets).”
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