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US: 2016 Presidential elections update: BBVA

Discussion in 'Fundamental Analysis' started by FXStreet_Team, Dec 21, 2015.

  1. FXStreet_Team

    FXStreet_Team Well-Known Member Trader

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    FXStreet (Delhi) – Research Team at BBVA Research, notes that the polls show Clinton as the clear frontrunner among the Democrats, while the Republican nominee is unclear.

    Key Quotes

    “Averaging the GOP candidates’ standings in each predictor, Rubio currently has a slight lead followed by Cruz and Bush.”

    “Economic-based models and market-based predictors are projecting a victory for the Democrats.”

    “However, contrary to the quantitative predictions, head-to-head opinion polls suggest that Clinton would be tested in a race against Rubio and Carson.”

    “GOP stands to benefit from growing security concerns and economic and policy uncertainty.”
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