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USD/CAD recovery fizzles as oil recovers

Discussion in 'Fundamental Analysis' started by FXStreet_Team, Apr 20, 2016.

  1. FXStreet_Team

    FXStreet_Team Well-Known Member Trader

    Oct 7, 2015
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    Amid rising oil prices and weak US housing data, commodity-linked currencies rose sharply against the US Dollar on Tuesday with USD/CAD pair dropping to 1.2630, its lowest level since July 2015.

    1.2630, 9-month low eyed

    During Asian session on Wednesday, the pair rose back above 1.2700 mark to 1.2730 as oil prices weakened on news that Kuwait oil workers have called-off the strike. As the day progressed, a minor recovery in crude oil prices took the pair back below 1.2700 mark.

    With daily RSI close to oversold territory, it would be prudent to wait for a break below yesterday's close before confirming further downside from current levels. A clear break below 1.2670 would suggest further downward momentum, even below yesterday's intra-day low of 1.2630, towards 1.2570.

    On the upside, a move back above day's peak of 1.2730 is likely to trigger a short covering bounce immediately towards 1.2800-20 resistance.
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