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USD/CNH rises strongly ahead of PBOC fix, market anticipating Yuan devaluation?

Discussion in 'Fundamental Analysis' started by FXStreet_Team, Feb 1, 2016.

  1. FXStreet_Team

    FXStreet_Team Well-Known Member Trader

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    FXStreet (Bali) - USD/CNH has surged over 100 pips breaking back above the 6.60 handle ahead of the PBOC fix, which may feel more pressured to start considering a Yuan devaluation once again, following last Friday's BOJ decision to adopt negative rates.

    Market anticipating higher USD/CNY?

    As a consequence of the heightened risk of another potential Yuan devaluation, market participants may be reflecting such scenario via a higher USD/CNH this morning in Asia. However, the move up today should be put into perspective, as it follows a strong decline from 6.63 to 6.59 last Friday, as PBOC tightens measures to make offshore Yuan borrowing more expensive and discourage excessive speculative bets.

    Yuan devaluation inevitable?

    In an article recently posted at FXStreet, Ashraf Laidi, Founder at Intermarket Strategy, said: ""As Japan continues to devalue its currency via negative interest rates, China may well be able to continue weakening its currency, especially as JPY makes up for 15% of the CNY's index under the China Foreign Exchange System."
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