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USD/JPY caught within 118-123 in 12-month – Danske Bank

Discussion in 'Fundamental Analysis' started by FXStreet_Team, Jan 26, 2016.

  1. FXStreet_Team

    FXStreet_Team Well-Known Member Trader

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    FXStreet (Edinburgh) - Morten Helt, Senior Analyst at Danske Bank, sees the pair navigating in the 118-123 range within a year’s view.

    Key Quotes

    JPY appreciation has accelerated in 2016 due to negative risk sentiment on global markets. BoJ easing expectations are low despite the recent strengthening of the JPY and the decline in the oil price, which has weakened the near term inflation outlook”.

    “In coming months, spring wage negotiations will be in focus as this will be a very important factor in relation to BoJ’s monetary policy. We believe wage increases will be higher than last year which should remove some of the pressure on BoJ to ease further”.

    “With the BoJ expected to continue its current QQE program at JPY80trn until 2017 and additional hikes from the Fed to some extend already priced, we expect USD/JPY to be caught in a 118-123 range in the coming 12 months”.
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