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USD/JPY: sent crashing to test 2016 lows

Discussion in 'Fundamental Analysis' started by FXStreet_Team, Apr 18, 2016.

  1. FXStreet_Team

    FXStreet_Team Well-Known Member Trader

    Oct 7, 2015
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    USD/JPY is down to the test the 108 handle in this livelier than usual start to the week. USD/JPY opened early Asia with a large bearish gap of over 0.70% marking lows of 108.12 before further supply took the pair down to lows of 107.89 ahead of the Tokyo open.

    The Yen has been a strong performer since the end of March business, sent from being on the113 handle down to recent lows of 107.89, even stirring up concerns over the risks of the BoJ intervening. Today has been another strong downside day so far, with the price opening in a bearish gap from last week's close of 108.77 to today's 107.89 low in the Tokyo open. The major story roiling markets at the start of the week is the news that OPEC and non-OPEC ministers concluded the Doha talk without an agreement.

    Oil collapses after no Doha deal

    Yen was a big gainer in this event and uncertainty has heightened again ahead of the European and U.S. coming back to soak it up. At the same time, U.S. interest rates were lower at the close last week with the US 10yr treasury yield falling from 1.79% to 1.75%. With the price of oil collapsing today, yields could be further pressured at the start of the week and continue to weigh on the major.

    From the calendar, we have New York Fed president Dudley making his opening remarks at a conference and Minneapolis while Fed's Kashkari delivers a speech with Q&A.

    USD/JPY levels

    The downside levels are 106.63 fibo and the 105.84 200 month ma. This could be a strong level of support below 107.60 and S3. To the upside, the nearby resistance lies at 108.80, above the gap, and then 109.66/73 ahead of 110.67 (March low). A close above 110.66 and the 20 dma would alleviate the built up 113.80 downside pressures of late March.
    For more information, read our latest forex news.

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